Hit write-up

META cap 740 hit

Wed Oct 7, 2026. Closed 721.15, 18.85 under the level.

← META record · Every graded call

Cap740
Regular close721.15
Margin18.85 (2.5%)
ResultHit

Cap: close under is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A cap is a price above the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move up there, so the test is simple: does the stock close under it? When it was posted at 10:34 ET, META traded at 722.4, 2.4% below the cap. On the same map, the next level above was 750 and the next level below was 700. See the original post.

Into the close

Price never closed a 5-minute bar on the wrong side of the cap. Its closest approach was 7.02 away (732.98); the session range was 718.67 to 732.98. In the last hour price moved down 6.88, from 725.55 to 718.67.

Intraday, Oct 7
716.96723.15729.33735.52741.71Cap 7409:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 721.15, 18.85 (2.55%) under the cap at 740. Under the rule (cap: close under is a hit), that is a hit.

Context that day

META finished the day down 2.4%, while SPY was down 0.2%. We found no single clear company-specific catalyst for the day in our notes.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.