Hit write-up

QQQ cap 760 hit

Thu Oct 8, 2026. Closed 747.57, 12.43 under the level.

← QQQ record · Every graded call

Cap760
Regular close747.57
Margin12.43 (1.6%)
ResultHit

Cap: close under is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A cap is a price above the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move up there, so the test is simple: does the stock close under it? When it was posted at 08:39 ET, QQQ traded at 752.57, 1.0% below the cap. On the same map, the next level below was 750. See the original post.

Into the close

Price never closed a 5-minute bar on the wrong side of the cap. Its closest approach was 3.07 away (756.93); the session range was 744.39 to 756.93. In the last hour price moved up 4.84, from 746.43 to 751.27.

Intraday, Oct 8
743.14747.67752.2756.72761.25Cap 7609:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 747.57, 12.43 (1.64%) under the cap at 760. Under the rule (cap: close under is a hit), that is a hit.

Context that day

QQQ finished the day down 1.3%, while SPY was down 0.4%. We found no single clear company-specific catalyst for the day in our notes.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.