Mon Oct 19, 2026. Closed 718.36, 1.64 under the level.
← QQQ record · Every graded call
Cap: close under is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.
A cap is a price above the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move up there, so the test is simple: does the stock close under it? When it was posted at 08:20 ET, QQQ traded at 717.47, 0.4% below the cap. On the same map, the next level below was 710. See the original post.
Price traded through the cap during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 10:10 AM ET), with 5-minute closes ranging from 717.22 to 724.19. In the last hour price moved down 1.69, from 720.05 to 718.36.
The regular-session close was 718.36, 1.64 (0.23%) under the cap at 720. Under the rule (cap: close under is a hit), that is a hit.
We found no single clear company-specific catalyst for the day in our notes.
Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.
SPY/QQQ caps, floors and the expected move at 8:30 AM ET every trading day, a Sunday Week-Ahead Map, and the honest scorecard. Free.
This week: 2 hits / N=2 · 0 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close (how we grade). Past results don't predict future results.