Miss write-up

SPY support zone 766 missed

Tue Sep 29, 2026. Closed 764.28, 1.72 under the level.

← SPY record · Every graded call

Support zone766
Regular close764.28
Missed by1.72 (0.2%)
ResultMiss

Support zone: close above is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A support zone is a price below the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move down there, so the test is simple: does the stock close above it? When it was posted at 08:41 ET, SPY traded at 767.17, 0.2% above the support zone. On the same map, the next level above was 768 and the next level below was 760. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the support zone during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:30 AM ET), with a low of 762.52 and a high of 778.57. In the last hour price moved up 13.56, from 765.01 to 778.57.

Intraday, Sep 29
761.24765.89770.55775.2779.85Support zone 7669:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 764.28, 1.72 (0.22%) under the support zone at 766. Under the rule (support zone: close above is a hit), that is a miss.

Context that day

SPY finished the day down 0.2%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.