Miss write-up

HOOD support zone 120 missed

Wed Sep 30, 2026. Closed 112.56, 7.44 under the level.

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Support zone120
Regular close112.56
Missed by7.44 (6.2%)
ResultMiss

Support zone: close above is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A support zone is a price below the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move down there, so the test is simple: does the stock close above it? When it was posted at 08:35 ET, HOOD traded at 121.61, 1.3% above the support zone. On the same map, the next level above was 125 and the next level below was 110. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the support zone during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:30 AM ET), with a low of 109.02 and a high of 116.42. In the last hour price moved down 3.64, from 112.66 to 109.02.

Intraday, Sep 30
108.14111.33114.51117.69120.88Support zone 1209:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 112.56, 7.44 (6.20%) under the support zone at 120. Under the rule (support zone: close above is a hit), that is a miss.

Context that day

Robinhood opened higher on its HOOD Summit product announcements (AI trading agents, planned 24/7 equity trading, perpetual futures), then reversed and closed down about 3% as the early rally faded. Deutsche Bank also trimmed its price forecast from $138 to $134 that day. HOOD finished the day down 3.2%, while SPY was down 0.2%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.