Wed Sep 30, 2026. Closed 512.90, 2.10 under the level.
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Support zone: close above is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.
A support zone is a price below the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move down there, so the test is simple: does the stock close above it? When it was posted at 14:16 ET, MSFT traded at 518.43, 0.7% above the support zone. On the same map, the next level above was 520 and the next level below was 510. See the original post.
Price traded through the support zone during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:30 AM ET), with a low of 512.68 and a high of 535.07. In the last hour price moved up 16.51, from 518.57 to 535.07.
The regular-session close was 512.90, 2.10 (0.41%) under the support zone at 515. Under the rule (support zone: close above is a hit), that is a miss.
MSFT finished the day up 0.8%, while SPY was down 0.2%.
Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.
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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.