Hit write-up

NBIS cap 240 hit

Wed Oct 7, 2026. Closed 237.07, 2.93 under the level.

← NBIS record · Every graded call

Cap240
Regular close237.07
Margin2.93 (1.2%)
ResultHit

Cap: close under is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A cap is a price above the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move up there, so the test is simple: does the stock close under it? When it was posted at 10:34 ET, NBIS traded at 238.1, 0.8% below the cap. On the same map, the next level above was 242.5 and the next level below was 225. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the cap during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:50 AM ET), with a low of 221.07 and a high of 241.38. In the last hour price moved down 13.80, from 234.87 to 221.07.

Intraday, Oct 7
219.45225.34231.23237.11243Cap 2409:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 237.07, 2.93 (1.22%) under the cap at 240. Under the rule (cap: close under is a hit), that is a hit.

Context that day

AI infrastructure names pulled back as Treasury yields rose; Nebius was among the larger Nasdaq-100 decliners. NBIS finished the day down 5.1%, while SPY was down 0.2%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.