Hit write-up

CRWV cap 85 hit

Thu Oct 8, 2026. Closed 81.57, 3.43 under the level.

← CRWV record · Every graded call

Cap85
Regular close81.57
Margin3.43 (4.0%)
ResultHit

Cap: close under is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A cap is a price above the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move up there, so the test is simple: does the stock close under it? When it was posted at 14:59 ET, CRWV traded at 82.48, 3.0% below the cap. On the same map, the next level above was 90 and the next level below was 80. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the cap during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:30 AM ET), with a low of 81.00 and a high of 85.75. In the last hour price moved up 0.56, from 81.53 to 82.08.

Intraday, Oct 8
80.628283.3884.7686.14Cap 859:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 81.57, 3.43 (4.04%) under the cap at 85. Under the rule (cap: close under is a hit), that is a hit.

Context that day

Debt-heavy AI infrastructure names sold off amid rising Treasury yields; coverage cited dilution, convertible debt and loan-covenant concerns at CoreWeave. CRWV finished the day down 7.8%, while SPY was down 0.4%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.