Miss write-up

COIN support zone 187.5 missed

Fri Oct 2, 2026. Closed 183.00, 4.50 under the level.

← COIN record · Every graded call

Support zone187.5
Regular close183
Missed by4.50 (2.4%)
ResultMiss

Support zone: close above is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A support zone is a price below the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move down there, so the test is simple: does the stock close above it? When it was posted at 08:43 ET, COIN traded at 196.18, 4.6% above the support zone. On the same map, the next level above was 202.5. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the support zone during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 10:50 AM ET), with a low of 179.39 and a high of 200.15. In the last hour price moved down 3.07, from 182.46 to 179.39.

Intraday, Oct 2
177.73183.75189.77195.79201.81Support zone 187.59:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 183.00, 4.50 (2.40%) under the support zone at 187.5. Under the rule (support zone: close above is a hit), that is a miss.

Context that day

Coinbase rallied early with bitcoin at a one-week high, touching about 200, then reversed after the weak September jobs report (29,000 vs about 90,000 expected) and closed down about 3%, under the 187.5 support zone. COIN finished the day down 3.3%, while SPY was up 0.7%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.