Miss write-up

APLD support zone 24 missed

Thu Oct 8, 2026. Closed 23.85, 0.15 under the level.

← APLD record · Every graded call

Support zone24
Regular close23.85
Missed by0.15 (0.6%)
ResultMiss

Support zone: close above is a hit. Close on the level is a push. Graded on the regular-session close.

The level

A support zone is a price below the market where a large amount of options positioning sits. The idea is that this positioning can slow a move down there, so the test is simple: does the stock close above it? When it was posted at 18:54 ET, APLD traded at 24.8, 3.3% above the support zone. On the same map, the next level above was 26 and the next level below was 23. See the original post.

Into the close

Price traded through the support zone during the session (first 5-minute close on the wrong side at 9:35 AM ET), with a low of 22.79 and a high of 24.18. In the last hour price moved up 0.44, from 23.24 to 23.68.

Intraday, Oct 8
22.6823.0823.4923.8924.29Support zone 249:3012:004:00
Close vs level

The regular-session close was 23.85, 0.15 (0.62%) under the support zone at 24. Under the rule (support zone: close above is a hit), that is a miss.

Context that day

Applied Digital jumped premarket after fiscal Q1 revenue of $341.9M (up about 4x) and a narrower loss than expected, then sold off during the session and closed just under the 24 support zone. APLD finished the day up 0.2%, while SPY was down 0.4%.

Education only, not advice. The same levels go to everyone. Past results don't predict future results.

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This week: 41 hits / N=46 · 5 misses · 0 pushes · graded on the regular-session close. Past results don't predict future results.